U-Turn on Manifesto Now More Likely

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โ€œItโ€™s looking increasingly likely that weโ€™ll see a U-turn on at least some of the manifesto โ€“ likely through income tax increases to plug the funding gap in the nationโ€™s coffers, even if itโ€™s dampened for some by a reduction in employeesโ€™ NIC.

โ€œThereโ€™s a clear signal to taxpayers and their advisors that change is afoot. Although some changes cannot take effect until the new tax year, some could be implemented immediately โ€“ we could even see an income tax rate rise effectively โ€˜from when the Chancellor sits downโ€™. Itโ€™s happened before, just not recently.

โ€œFor some time, many commentators have signalled that simply โ€˜tinkeringโ€™ with other taxes wonโ€™t raise anywhere near enough revenue, and that at least one of the โ€˜big threeโ€™ revenue-earning taxes must move. It now seems the Chancellor is conceding to that uncomfortable reality.

โ€œTodayโ€™s speech is a fairly unprecedented โ€˜rolling of the pitchโ€™ ahead of an arguably already delayed Budget. It has fuelled speculation for weeks, potentially having a negative impact on economic activity โ€“ which may well be the reason for todayโ€™s speech.โ€

โ€“ Johnthan Dudley, Head of Manufacturing and SME Corporates at Crowe UK

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